Financial research
Examine the likelihood of economic and market events, and the assumptions behind them. Forecasting can help researchers compare expectations, follow new evidence and consider how a change might affect their view.
Applications
Forecasts for decisions in business, markets and public life.
Energy planning
Examine how demand may change across locations and time periods. Compare scenarios for capacity, procurement and investment.
Conflict analysis
Assess how conflict events may change across places and time periods. Forecasts can help analysts compare scenarios and focus further investigation, with attention to the coverage and limits of the underlying data.
Prediction markets
Estimate the probability of an event and compare it with the probability implied by a market price. A clear question and resolution date give researchers a common basis for examining where those expectations differ.
E-commerce
Anticipate customer demand before committing to stock, pricing or a promotion. Compare forecasts across products and seasons to plan what to order and when.
Public policy
Explore how economic and social conditions could develop. Compare possible outcomes when planning services, allocating resources or assessing a policy.
Business strategy
Assess a new market, an expansion or a long-term investment. Compare the conditions each plan depends on and the likelihood that those conditions will hold.
Supply chains
Anticipate changes in supply, lead times and demand. Compare sourcing options and consider where a disruption could affect production.
Logistics
Consider how changing demand and disruption could affect routes, delivery times and capacity. Use forecasts to compare plans before resources are committed.
Insurance and risk
Estimate the likelihood of defined events and examine the assumptions behind an exposure. Compare scenarios across a portfolio of risks.
